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What’s next for Mujuru?

EMBATTLED Vice-President Joice Mujuru has to make tough choices to either fight from within or leave Zanu PF as chances of retaining her post are getting slimmer by the day, analysts have said.

BY PAIDAMOYO MUZULU

The two maps illustrate how much support Joice Mujuru enjoyed before Grace Mugabe became a politician and how much Emmerson Mnangagwa, leader of a rival faction has since gained ground. Graphic: Jeffrey Milanzi

The two maps illustrate how much support Joice Mujuru enjoyed before Grace Mugabe became a politician and how much Emmerson Mnangagwa, leader of a rival faction has since gained ground.
Graphic: Jeffrey Milanzi

Last week, the Zanu PF politburo expelled war veterans’ leader Jabulani Sibanda and suspended party spokesperson Rugare Gumbo alongside four provincial chairmen, dealing a major blow to Mujuru’s chances of retaining her post as President Robert Mugabe’s second-in-command.

The deposed chairpersons are Jason Machaya (Midlands), Andrew Langa (Matabeleland South), Amos Midzi (Harare) and Callisto Gwanetsa (Masvingo). The quartet joins another Mujuru ally, Temba Mliswa who was jettisoned from the Mashonaland West provincial chair last month.

The suspended Mujuru allies are accused of fanning divisions and attempting to block First Lady Grace Mugabe’s rise as Zanu PF’s women’s league boss.

Four other provincial chairpersons have an insecure future as relentless efforts are being made to relieve them of their duties. These are Ray Kaukonde (Mashonaland East), Callistus Ndlovu (Bulawayo) and Luke Mushore in Mashonaland Central. Yesterday a vote of no confidence was passed on John Mvundura of Manicaland province.

Just a month ago, Mujuru had nine out of 10 provinces in the bag while her bitter rival, Justice minister Emmerson Mnangagwa had one.

Other Mujuru allies in the firing line include politburo members Didymus Mutasa, Webster Shamu and Tendai Savanhu.

Political scientist Eldred Masunungure told The Standard yesterday that last week’s politburo decision dimmed Mujuru’s chances of retaining her position in both party and government.

“She has reached the end of the road. When you have your people strategically placed being removed without due processes, you should expect that undue process will be unleashed against you as well,” said Masunungure, a political science lecturer at the University of Zimbabwe.

“What happened shows the determination to get rid of her. The end justifies the means.”

Masunungure said Mujuru should struggle from within and look at her other alternatives — if they exist.

He warned that the wars against her may shift to another arena such as Parliament.

Another political analyst, Shakespear Hamauswa concurred that Mujuru was technically finished, only that “she still has some allies yet to be kicked out”.
He said Mujuru should remain within the party while testing the waters towards congress.

Midlands State University lecturer Nhamo Mhiripiri said Mujuru can “stay in until congress but with her continued loss of support in the politburo she will be a sitting duck”.

He added: “The other option is for her and suspended colleagues, if they see no political future in Zanu PF, to form a breakaway party.”

Hamauswa said if possible Mujuru has to quit before congress.

“But if she quits again without forming her own party what would happen to those who got party positions including cabinet posts through her ticket? It’s just hell falling on VP,” he said.

But Masunungure warned that breaking away from Zanu PF would be politically unwise for Mujuru and “the surest ticket and shortcut to political oblivion”.

“Zanu PF will come hard on her. She has to fight from within. She still has more than 20 years ahead. A lot of things may happen in politics,” he said.

“It’s only that her elevator is going down and Mnangagwa’s is going up but it will come to a stop at some time.”

Another political analyst, Tamuka Chirimambowa said “they [Mujuru and company] have to pull out of Zanu PF and cause holding of by-elections and consider becoming one of the oppositions or even forming a coalition government after the elections”.

The position, Chirimambowa argues, depended on them being prepared to face Mugabe’s wrath and if they could survive without benefits of political patronage.

“Therefore the only logical thing in my view is for Mujuru to brave the cold outside Zanu PF just like [Julius] Malema braved the cold outside the ANC,” he said.

Masunungure said Mujuru’s allies such as Gumbo can call it quits rather than wait for the lapse of his five-year suspension.

He said the sentence on Gumbo was a light one as he had gone through worst experiences during the liberation struggle.

“If he was a footballer, he would hang his boots,” Masunungure said.

10 Responses to What’s next for Mujuru?

  1. chimwango November 16, 2014 at 6:12 pm #

    When people of Zimbabwe say they want change people like Mai Mujuru,Rugare Gumbo and others who are suffering ill treatment by Zanu pf never understood how it felt when people said they wanted change on gorvenance. Now its their turn.They can’t even run away or hide from Zanu pf.And worse more there is no one to rescue them from the merceless jaws of Zanu pf.Now its too late and they are learning the hard way.

    • ramaliiane November 20, 2014 at 6:11 am #

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  2. Sain Manonose November 17, 2014 at 9:33 am #

    Zimbabwe should remember Mnangagwa in 2004 won 8 out of 10 provinces and The VPascended to number 2 thanks to woman quota considrations. She has since then systematically helped allies to powerful position, so it is alleged, until she unwittingly offended her political maker. Remember Prof. Moyo’s “He who appoints can also disappoint”. The VP should look at herself .money isn’t everything. The justice minister never lost anything, if anything, he is only is only reaffirming the people’s support for the First Family and the people’s party.

  3. maita November 17, 2014 at 2:20 pm #

    As long as Mugabe is alive even Mnangagwa is also soon going to be a victim. Very soon he will be because what Mugabe wants is his one man band. He has already roped in his wife. The scenario will be a VP comes from former Zapu members and from the facts on the ground it is a man, so a woman is needed for the other VP post, it will not be Opah, so it will be Grace bingo, Emmerson is gone.

  4. Isaac H Dziya November 17, 2014 at 5:17 pm #

    http://thezimbabwenewslive.com/mugabe-mujuru-must-go-now/

  5. E Makhate November 25, 2014 at 6:28 am #

    Joyce Mujuru was appointed by Solomon Mujuru, also known as the king maker.

  6. mwana wevhu November 29, 2014 at 5:08 pm #

    Is that not a lovely map showing the temperature of the state of politics, i thought my president was the one running this not speculation politics, really where do they fish out such information. anyway, i did not see any news worthy item in this story, though the headline was a bit enticing.

  7. MAKANAKA November 29, 2014 at 8:58 pm #

    Mujuru should have taken the advice very early, when it was given by Mai Mugabe, albeit given with some vulgar language.

    Her insistence on the ropes is what is fuelling her adversaries to continue digging into her mess. Most of this misconduct coming up would have been spared her, had she thrown in the towel.

    Her enemies, because she remains standing, will continue to exhume all the sins she thinks are long buried.

    It will come a time, when ten elephants will be exhumed which will be every cause to prosecute her and cause everlasting ridicule, rather than simply fall-off the rails and leave the gravy train rolling on without you.

    If she has legal advisers I’m sure they are fast snoring.

  8. Chitundiso November 30, 2014 at 3:23 pm #

    This is crazy. No one may and should sympathize with these guys. They should recall how they tried and in most cases succeeded in stamping others when they also wanted to CHANGE their own lives. this was change not for any political reasons. Does Mai Mujuru remeber how sghe tried to pull down Strive Masiiwa until the real Dr. Josh Nkomo intervened?

    Ndizvo zvatitiri kuona!!!

  9. Chitundiso November 30, 2014 at 3:24 pm #

    Mai Jujuru, mamama

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